Kendrick’s Grammy Hustle is Heating Up: Is He Ready to Take the Crown?
Yo, the Grammy buzz for 2025 is already lit, and Kendrick Lamar is right in the thick of it. With his fire track “Not Like Us” sittin’ at 3/1 odds to snatch that Song of the Year trophy, it’s clear he’s not playin’ around. After all, with the drama between him and Drake finally chillin’ out, the timing couldn’t be better for Kendrick to make his move.
The Battle for Song of the Year
First off, let’s break down the deets. “Song of the Year” is one of the biggest flexes at the Grammys, right up there with Album and Record of the Year. This award props up the songwriter who laid down the lyrics that got everyone talkin’. And with Kendrick’s diss track blowin’ up since it dropped in May 2024, it’s no surprise that the odds are swingin’ in his favor. This track didn’t just ride the wave—it was the wave, especially in his beef with Drake, which saw both rappers droppin’ diss tracks left and right. But in the end, it was “Not Like Us” that left the biggest mark.
- Current Odds: 3/1
- Probability: 25%
- Track Release Date: May 2024
- Main Competitors: Beyoncé, Sabrina Carpenter, Chappell Roan, Taylor Swift & Post Malone
Competition is Fierce
But let’s keep it real—Kendrick ain’t the only one in the game. Beyoncé’s out here flexin’ too, sittin’ at the top with her smash hit “Texas Hold ‘Em.” She’s got the lead with 6/4 odds—that’s a strong 40% chance she’ll be addin’ another Grammy to her already packed shelf. This track is a standout from her latest album Cowboy Carter, which took a wild ride into country music and has been causin’ waves all year. Plus, let’s not forget Sabrina Carpenter with her catchy hit “Espresso” and Chappell Roan’s “Good Luck, Babe!”—these ladies are bringin’ serious heat. And as if that wasn’t enough, Taylor Swift and Post Malone’s collab “Fortnight” is right there with Kendrick at 3/1 odds, making the competition even tighter.
Song of the Year Odds:
- Beyoncé – “Texas Hold ‘Em”
Odds: 6/4 | Probability: 40.0% - Sabrina Carpenter – “Espresso”
Odds: 2/1 | Probability: 33.3% - Chappell Roan – “Good Luck, Babe!”
Odds: 5/2 | Probability: 28.6% - Kendrick Lamar – “Not Like Us”
Odds: 3/1 | Probability: 25.0% - Taylor Swift & Post Malone – “Fortnight”
Odds: 3/1 | Probability: 25.0%
The Album of the Year Showdown
Meanwhile, in the Album of the Year race, it’s a neck-and-neck showdown between Taylor Swift and Billie Eilish. Both artists are sittin’ at 5/2 odds, each bringin’ their A-game. Taylor’s fresh off a win from last year with Midnights, and now she’s gunnin’ for back-to-back victories. But Billie’s not backin’ down with Hit Me Hard and Soft, showin’ she’s got the chops to take the crown. Then there’s Beyoncé again, tryin’ to score more gold with Cowboy Carter, while Kacey Musgraves, Charli XCX, and Ariana Grande are also in the mix, ready to shake things up.
Album of the Year Odds:
- Taylor Swift – The Tortured Poets Department
Odds: 5/2 | Probability: 28.6% - Billie Eilish – Hit Me Hard and Soft
Odds: 5/2 | Probability: 28.6% - Beyoncé – Cowboy Carter
Odds: 10/3 | Probability: 23.1% - Kacey Musgraves – Deeper Well
Odds: 6/1 | Probability: 14.3% - Charli XCX – Brat
Odds: 15/2 | Probability: 11.8% - Ariana Grande – Eternal Sunshine
Odds: 9/1 | Probability: 10.0%
That’s It
So, what’s the verdict? With the 2025 Grammys shaping up to be one of the wildest yet, it’s anyone’s game. Kendrick Lamar’s got the momentum, but with heavyweights like Beyoncé, Taylor Swift, and Billie Eilish in the mix, the competition is as fierce as it gets. Place your bets, grab the popcorn, and get ready for a show—this year’s Grammys are gonna be one for the history books!
